Countrywide v.  Mortgage Fund That Won't Be Named (MFTWBN)
Countrywide posted loan data today that showed delinquent loans at 7.20% of its portfolio and loans into foreclosure of 1.04%.  Countrywide's stock has fallen almost 50% in just the last week and at $5.12 per share is barely trading above bankruptcy levels.  Compare this to MFTWBN that at third quarter-end (9/30/2007) had a 16.6% delinquency rate and  3.8% of its loans in foreclosure.  If the market is betting Countrywide is going to go bankrupt what does it imply for MFTWBN?  I'll tell you what it implies - Holy Shit!  Plus, Countrywide is still making loans and actually saw a 1% growth in loans in December over November's rate.  MFTWBN has temporarily stopped making loans.  I expect disaster in MFTWBN's year-end financial statement.
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
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