Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Oil and High Yield Debt

Here is a good Bloomberg article on the rebound in high yield debt and the oil markets.  For much of the past year and a half the price of oil and high yield debt have moved together.  The latest drop in oil prices has been a solo move, as high yield debt has not followed the oil market down.  The following chart from the article shows the performance of oil and high yield debt since the start of 2015:

High yield debt market moved with oil because so many recent issuers of high yield debt were oil and gas companies.   A May 31, 2016, report by the law firm Haynes & Booth states that there have been 81 oil and gas bankruptcies since the start of 2015.

The Bloomberg article takes a closer examination of the high yield debt and oil markets.  When just the high yield debt of energy companies is compared to the price of oil, the performance is strikingly similar.  While the overall high yield market may have separated from oil, energy high yield debt is following the price of oil down.

Update:  As of August 3, 2016, the number of oil and gas bankruptcies since the start of 2015 is now up to 85.

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